The struggle for democracy in Belarus

Three articles from the New York Times

Breaking Impasse, E.U. Imposes Sanctions on Belarus

The delay in punishing Belarus for the crackdown that followed its flawed elections had been a huge embarrassment for the bloc.

Opposition supporters in Minsk
Opposition supporters in Minsk, Belarus, on Sunday. Sanctions in response to the crackdown in the country by President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko remain blocked by Cyprus.
Sergei Bobylev/TASS, via Getty Images

By Steven Erlanger and Monika Pronczuk

Oct. 1, 2020

BRUSSELS — European Union leaders early Friday finally broke a longstanding impasse to impose sanctions against Belarus as they tackled a raft of interconnected issues — from Turkey to the coronavirus recovery fund to the rule of law — that would have been complicated even if taken one by one.

The delay in punishing Belarus for its crackdown after flawed elections on Aug. 9 had been a huge embarrassment for the bloc, and one that Charles Michel, president of the European Council, which comprises the bloc’s leaders, had insisted on resolving, at long last.

The sanctions had been blocked by Cyprus, which wants penalties imposed on Turkey for its energy explorations in Cypriot and Greek waters.

Early Friday morning, after eight hours of talks, the leaders agreed on language that urges Turkey to enter serious negotiations with both Cyprus and Greece on disputed waters and energy rights, and threatens sanctions against it for breaches of international law. Mr. Michel said Brussels still hoped to create “a positive agenda” with Turkey and would review relations in December. Most important, though, the compromise opened the way for Cyprus to lift its veto and allow the bloc to impose sanctions on some 40 key Belarusian officials — even if those sanctions are likely to have, as many predict, little or no impact on President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko’s behavior or hold on power. Mr. Lukashenko himself is not on the sanction list.

With Turkey now in talks with Greece after German and NATO mediation, there was little appetite among many of the leaders to annoy Ankara further by imposing sanctions against it now, especially given its importance in helping to manage migration flows into Europe. There is general unhappiness with the aggressive positions taken by Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, on display again with his support for Azerbaijan in its clashes with Armenia. But the European Union needs to find a modus vivendi with Mr. Erdogan, and antagonizing him further is unlikely to change his behavior.

Prime minister of Greece and president of the European Council
Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis of Greece, left, and Charles Michel, president of the European Council, met in Brussels on Thursday. Greece is in talks with Turkey over energy explorations
in Cypriot and Greek waters.
Pool photo by John Thys

Still hanging over the leaders, though, is the bloc’s problem with violations of the rule of law in member states, and how efforts to punish those violations are tied in with money. Of particular concern are the coronavirus recovery fund of 750 billion euros, or about $880 billion, and the European Union’s €1.1 trillion multiyear budget.

In July, leaders agreed in a vague way to condition spending to adherence to the rule of law. The insistence of several northern countries, notably Austria, Denmark, Finland and the Netherlands, on a connection drew immediate opposition from Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic, which felt targeted by the measure.

A German proposal to open talks on that condition with the European Parliament, which must approve the spending, is considered too lax by a third of the member states, because it is seen as focusing more on the misuse of money than on breaches of law. But without a deal, delivery of the funds, which countries badly affected by the virus, such as Italy and Spain, desperately need, will be delayed even further into next year.

So between the two presumably worthy goals — enforcing the rule of law with conditions on funding, and then delivering the funding more quickly — is a political quandary that cannot be resolved quickly.

Health center in Madrid
Lining up in front of a local health center in Madrid, Spain, last week. Without a deal, delivery of the coronavirus recovery funds will be delayed even further into next year.
Gianfranco Tripodo for The New York Times

Ms. Jourova, commissioner for European values : "The European Union was created also as an antidote to those authoritarian tendencies"

In the background, the European Commission, the European Union’s executive arm, has introduced a less confrontational effort to warn countries about authoritarian backsliding. For the first time, the commission has published assessments of the state of democracy in each of the 27 member states, avoiding singling out Hungary and Poland (though their reports were more critical than most). Democratic standards are facing “important challenges,” especially in Hungary and Poland, where judicial systems are under threat, the reports said. They found that prosecution of high-level corruption in Hungary “remains very limited,” and deemed Poland deficient in the four main areas reviewed: national justice systems, anticorruption frameworks, freedom of the press, and checks and balances. Prosecution of high-level corruption is also limited in the Czech Republic and Malta, the reports said, and there were special challenges to a free press in Bulgaria, Hungary, Malta and Poland. Poland got particular attention, because bloc officials believe that there is more potential for remedial action there than in Hungary, where Prime Minister Viktor Orban called for the resignation of the commissioner in charge of the reports, Vera Jourova of the Czech Republic, who called his country an “ill democracy.” Ms. Jourova, the commissioner for European values, told journalists, “It is relevant to have an overview of these issues and see the links between them — not least because deficiencies often merge into an undrinkable cocktail.” “The European Union was created also as an antidote to those authoritarian tendencies,” she added.

The European Commission’s president, Ursula von der Leyen, rejected Mr. Orban’s demands. But Hungary and Poland announced that they would set up their own institute to assess the rule of law in all member nations to avoid “double standards,” Hungary’s foreign minister, Peter Szijjarto, said. He added that he had had “enough of some Western European politicians using us as a punching bag.” Hungary and Poland have repeatedly clashed with Brussels over issues like judicial independence, freedom of speech, the role of the news media and L.G.B.T.Q. rights. But the commission has few weapons. It initiated proceedings before the European Court of Justice, whose rulings are obeyed, albeit reluctantly, by Budapest and Warsaw. And it set into action a mechanism that could theoretically lead to the loss of voting rights, but which is useless because it requires unanimity, and Poland and Hungary have vowed to protect each another. Officials have been reluctant to file an avalanche of cases before the court for fear of being seen as targeting countries and because they would take a long time to resolve. Hence the effort to tie the disbursement of funds to the rule of law. The German proposal will face a serious challenge in the European Parliament. Sergey Lagodinsky, a Green lawmaker in the chamber, said,

“The report as it stands is a toothless tiger, unless it is accompanied by an effective enforcement mechanism that includes cutting funds in case of deficiencies.” The proposal, he said, “has decapitated the initial idea.” But without a deal soon, warned Michael Clauss, the German ambassador to the bloc, “delays with consequences for Europe’s economic recovery will most likely be unavoidable.”
The Supreme Court in Warsaw
The Supreme Court in Warsaw, Poland. Democratic standards are facing “important challenges,’’ especially in Hungary and Poland, where judicial systems are under threat.
Anna Liminowicz for The New York Time

E.U. Agrees to Penalize Lukashenko, but Gives Him Time to Back Down

Foreign ministers of the bloc, which had imposed sanctions on other Belarus officials, agreed to apply them to the country’s president, pressuring him to call new elections.

President Aleksandr Lukashenko speaking in Minsk
President Aleksandr Lukashenko speaking in Minsk, Belarus, in September. The European Union agreed Monday to extend sanctions on the beleaguered president in hopes he will call new
elections.
Sergei Bobylev/TASS, via Getty Images

By Steven Erlanger

Oct. 12, 2020

BRUSSELS — European Union foreign ministers agreed on Monday to impose sanctions on President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko of Belarus, widely seen as having stolen the recent election — but they also appeared to offer him a way out of the penalties. The proposed sanctions must first go through legal vetting and may not be implemented if Mr. Lukashenko engages in serious talks with the opposition about new elections and eases a crackdown against protesters. Some 40 Belarusian officials have already faced an asset freeze and a travel ban. After a violent confrontation in Belarus on Sunday in which the police used water cannons and arrested more than 700 protesters, the E.U. foreign ministers, meeting in Luxembourg, agreed to expand the list to include the authoritarian president and others. “In line with the E.U.’s gradual approach, the E.U. stands ready to take further restrictive measures, including against entities and high-ranking officials, including A. Lukashenko,’’ they said in a statement. Once the legal work is done, the ministers will have to approve the implementation of any new sanctions, which they are trying to use as a means to pressure Mr. Lukashenko. He has been under E.U. sanctions in the past, but they were lifted in 2016 when he eased up on the opposition and released some critics from prison. Mr. Lukashenko is already under sanctions from the United States and Britain, as well as from the Baltic nations. In response, Belarus has expelled several ambassadors of E.U. member states. On Monday, the country’s Interior Ministry threatened to use lethal weapons against the demonstrators. Gennady Kazakevich, the first deputy interior minister, said in a statement that protests recently had turned “extremely radical” and that security forces would now have the option of using more than the rubber bullets, stun grenades, violent arrests and mass
detentions that had been deployed previously to stop the demonstrations. “Police officers and interior troops won’t leave the streets and will use special equipment and military weapons if necessary,” Mr. Kazakevich said. Editors’ Picks A Columnist Makes Sense of Wall Street Like None Other (See Footnote) How President Trump Ruined Political Comedy James Murdoch, Rebellious Scion The E.U. ministers also agreed on Monday to scale back the financial support the bloc gives to the Belarus government and to redirect some of the funds to civil society groups. The bloc has already declared that it does not recognize Mr. Lukashenko as the legitimate president of Belarus after elections on Aug. 9 that it deemed fraudulent. “The EU calls on the Belarusian authorities to seek a peaceful and democratic solution to the crisis through an inclusive national dialogue with broader society,” the ministers said, supporting a plan by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe to help set up such talks. The ministers said that a substantial package of aid would be available to support a democratic transition. Mr. Lukashenko appeared to show some willingness to negotiate when, on Saturday, he visited to a jail in central Minsk, the capital, to hold a meeting with detained opposition leaders. The meeting lasted more than four hours, during which Mr. Lukashenko discussed possible changes to the country’s Constitution, according to a brief video of his speech. The E.U. ministers also agreed to impose sanctions on Russian officials and organizations blamed for the poisoning of Aleksei A. Navalny, a prominent opposition leader, with a nerve agent. But the European Union’s foreign-policy chief, Josep Borrell Fontelles, provided no details about who in Russia might face sanctions or when the measures might come into force, saying that technical work on preparing the action was proceeding.

I Was a Stay-at-Home Mom. Now I’m Leading a Revolution.

My husband was jailed for daring to run against our president. So I ran in his place.

In the video Op-Ed above, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya tells the story of her improbable rise from stay-at-home mom to revolutionary icon. She reluctantly became the figurehead of the Belarusian opposition movement after her husband was thrown in jail for daring to challenge Europe’s last dictator. Belarus has been ruled by the same man, Alexander Lukashenko, since 1994. Over the past 26 years, he has violently suppressed many who challenged his rule — jailing opposition candidates or driving them into exile. So Belarusians were unsurprised when the pattern

began to repeat in 2020 — democracy was being subverted once again. But the unlikely has happened. After rallying behind Ms. Tikhanovskaya, widely believed to be the true victor of the August elections, hundreds of thousands of Belarusians have gathered in protest to make it clear they’ve had enough of Lukashenko — and they aren’t backing down. Could this unlikely hero be bringing an end to his tyrannical rule? Svetlana Tikhanovskaya was a candidate in the Belarusian presidential election. She is currently in exile in Lithuania.


Here is a podcast of the New York Times about the situation in Belarus :